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CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.A number of officials from Turkey and Qatar will visit Syria to meet with the Syrian transitional government. On the 12th local time, the Syrian Ministry of Information announced that the Turkish Foreign Minister, the head of the intelligence department and the head of Qatar's national security department will visit Syria and meet with the leader of the Sharm el-Liberation Organization, Giulani, and the caretaker Prime Minister of the Syrian transitional government, Bashir. Up to now, Turkish and Qatar officials have not announced relevant news.US lawmakers from Texas proposed to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve. It is reported that Giovanni Capriglione, a Republican state legislator from Texas, proposed legislation on Thursday to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve. The bill will allow the state to collect taxes, fees and donations in the form of bitcoins and hold these bitcoins for at least five years. Giovanni described it as a hedge against inflation. This proposal does not elaborate on the plan to buy Bitcoin directly. Texas is the region with the largest concentration of bitcoin miners in the United States. The legislation aims to encourage miners to use digital assets to pay taxes.

Google: The first device equipped with Android XR is made by Samsung and will be available next year.Industry ETFs U.S. stocks generally fell in early trading, with regional bank ETFs currently down 1.07%, semiconductor ETFs down 0.98%, banking ETFs down 0.8%, technology ETFs down 0.37%, and Internet stock index ETFs up 0.28%.Reaffirming that the army will be mobilized to expel all illegal immigrants, Trump's latest statement revealed more details. On December 12, local time, US President-elect Trump reiterated in an interview that he plans to use the army to the maximum extent permitted by law and promote large-scale expulsion of illegal immigrants. Trump called illegal immigrants "an invasion of the country" and promised to cooperate with federal resources, including the National Guard, to quickly implement deportation. It is reported that Trump plans to declare a state of emergency, allocate resources to support this action, and may build new facilities to resettle immigrants waiting for repatriation. He also stressed that he hopes to reduce the demand for detention facilities through rapid expulsion. The analysis pointed out that although the National Guard has been used to support border patrols before, including the Democratic and Republican parties, it has not directly participated in immigration law enforcement. This time, the Trump team plans to use the military to provide support in transportation, infrastructure construction and intelligence, but the arrest will be carried out by immigration officials. Trump also suggested in the interview that he would expel all illegal immigrants in the next four years. According to data from the US Department of Homeland Security, as of January 2022, there were about 11 million illegal immigrants in the United States, and this number may increase recently. In this regard, some studies believe that the full implementation of the plan is costly, or it will have a far-reaching impact on industries that rely on immigrant labor. On November 18, local time, US President-elect Trump confirmed on the social media platform that the US military would be mobilized by declaring the country into a state of emergency, thus expelling illegal immigrants from the United States. (CCTV News)

The mortgage interest rate in the United States fell for the third consecutive week, and the demand for home purchases rose. The mortgage interest rate in the United States fell for the third consecutive week. Freddie Mac said in a statement that the average interest rate of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages was 6.6%, down from 6.69% last week. Redfin Corp' s data for the four weeks ending December 8 show that buyers have been pushing forward in recent weeks, and the purchase contract has increased by 4.1% year-on-year. However, the broker said that affordability still faces challenges, because interest rates are still at a high level and the median selling price has increased by 6% year-on-year. "Demand is adapting to the new normal after the election," said Chen Zhao, head of economic research at Redfin.Shell Ocean Company: It is estimated that in 2026, two wells of PERDIDO SPAR operated by Shell in the Gulf of Mexico will be put into production for the first time.The Brazilian central bank raised its benchmark interest rate to 12.25% for the third time this year. On the 11th, local time, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Brazilian central bank announced that it had decided to raise its benchmark interest rate to 12.25%, which is the third time that the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates this year. Brazil's central bank said that the interest rate hike was affected by international uncertainties and Brazil's domestic economic policies, and it is expected that the benchmark interest rate will be raised again in January and March next year. Since August last year, the Brazilian central bank cut interest rates seven times in a row, stopped cutting interest rates in June this year, and then raised the benchmark interest rate three times in a row. After this adjustment, Brazil's benchmark interest rate at the end of 2024 was the same as that at the end of 2023, which was 12.25%. The latest "Focus" bulletin of the Brazilian central bank raised the expected inflation rate to 4.84% in 2024, which is higher than the upper limit of the country's inflation rate management target of 4.5% from 2024 to 2026.